England's Covid R rate is between 1.2 and 1.3 - the regional breakdown

Friday, 15th January 2021, 4:00 pm
Updated Friday, 15th January 2021, 4:00 pm

Latest figures show that the UK’s coronavirus R number is currently between 1.2 and 1.3.

This means that, on average, every 10 people infected with Covid will infect between 12 and 13 other people.

The R number stands for the reproduction number, and indicates how quickly Covid is spreading. Last week, it was estimated that the R number was between 1 and 1.4.

The UK’s growth rate is now estimated to be between +2 per cent and +5 per cent, whereas last week this was at between 0 per cent and +6 per cent.

“A growth rate of between +2 per cent and +5 per cent means that the number of new infections is growing by between 2 per cent and 5 per cent every day,” said the Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC).

What is the R number and growth rate around England?

The R number has gone down slightly in London, the South East, South West, the North East and Yorkshire.

However, it has risen slightly in the East of England, Midlands and North West.

These are the latest R number and growth rate estimates for NHS England regions:

  • England: 1.1-1.3 and +1 to +4
  • East of England: 1.0-1.3 and 0 to +4
  • London: 0.9-1.2 and -2 to +3
  • Midlands: 1.2-1.4 and +2 to +6
  • North East and Yorkshire: 1.1-1.3 and +2 to +5
  • North West: 1.2-1.5 and +3 to +7
  • South East: 1.0-1.2 and -1 to +3
  • South West: 1.2-1.5 and +4 to +7

These estimates represent the transmission of Covid over the past few weeks, due to the time delay between someone being infected, having symptoms, and needing healthcare.

Estimates for the R number and growth rates are shown as a range, with the true values likely to lie within this range.